Third League - Southwest · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Bansko
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Septemvri Simitli
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
26%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.92
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Bansko wins
0
Draws
0
Septemvri Simitli wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
20%
60%
Attack
40%
33%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
48%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Bansko
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Septemvri Simitli
last 4 away from home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Bansko | Septemvri Simitli | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 7/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 100% 7/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 57% 4/7 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/8 38% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
Bansko
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
29%
Behind
29%
Septemvri Simitli
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
33%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Bansko |
15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 30 |
| 11 |
Septemvri Simitli |
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Bansko face Septemvri Simitli in Third League - Southwest. Bansko have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 10 (1.8 points per game). Septemvri Simitli have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 10 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 48% probability backing Bansko, home advantage and superior chance creation make Bansko to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for Bansko, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Septemvri Simitli. Our top recommended betting pick is Bansko Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.92 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Third League - Southwest.
