Third League - Southwest · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Belasitsa
Home
0-1
Full time
Stadion Tsar Samuil
Kostinbrod
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.4 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
71%
Draw
14%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
71%
1.32
Double Chance
Home/Draw
85%
1.11
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
87%
1.08
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
76%
1.24
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
87%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.21
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Belasitsa wins
0
Draws
0
Kostinbrod wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
60%
46%
Attack
46%
40%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
71%
Win probability
14%
Home and away record
Belasitsa
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
2.67
conceded a game
Kostinbrod
last 4 away from home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Belasitsa | Kostinbrod | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 75% 6/8 | Both teams scored | 3/7 43% |
| 0% 0/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/7 29% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
Belasitsa
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
25%
Behind
63%
Kostinbrod
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Belasitsa face Kostinbrod in Third League - Southwest. Belasitsa have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game). Kostinbrod have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 87% and Both Teams to Score at 76%.
With a 71% probability backing Belasitsa, home advantage and superior chance creation make Belasitsa to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 71% win probability for Belasitsa, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Kostinbrod. Our top recommended betting pick is Belasitsa Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.21 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 76% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Tsar Samuil as part of the Third League - Southwest.
