Third League - Southeast · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Neftochimic Burgas
Home
2-0
Full time
efbet Arena
Zagorets
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
23%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Neftochimic Burgas wins
0
Draws
0
Zagorets wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
60%
53%
Attack
66%
20%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
56%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Neftochimic Burgas
last 3 at home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Zagorets
last 4 away from home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
0.75
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Neftochimic Burgas | Zagorets | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 3/7 43% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/7 43% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 3/7 43% |
At half time
Neftochimic Burgas
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
40%
Behind
60%
Zagorets
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
29%
Behind
43%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Neftochimic Burgas |
13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +11 | 26 |
| 12 |
Zagorets |
13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Neftochimic Burgas face Zagorets in Third League - Southeast. Neftochimic Burgas have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 12 (0.8 points per game). Zagorets have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 10 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 56% probability backing Neftochimic Burgas, home advantage and superior chance creation make Neftochimic Burgas to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for Neftochimic Burgas, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Zagorets. Our top recommended betting pick is Neftochimic Burgas Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at efbet Arena as part of the Third League - Southeast.
