Primera Nacional · Saturday, 11 Jul 2026
Deportivo Moron
Home
2-2
Full time
Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano
Deportivo Madryn
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.12 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
59%
Draw
20%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
59%
1.59
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Deportivo Moron wins
0
Draws
0
Deportivo Madryn wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
5%
Recent form
50%
16%
Attack
50%
50%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
59%
Win probability
20%
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
2 matches.
| Deportivo Moron | Deportivo Madryn | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 1/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 50% 1/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 0% 0/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 50% 1/2 | Both teams scored | 2/2 100% |
| 0% 0/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/2 0% |
| 50% 1/2 | Failed to score | 0/2 0% |
At half time
Deportivo Moron
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Deportivo Madryn
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Deportivo Moron |
35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | +14 | 58 |
| 4 |
Deportivo Madryn |
35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | +20 | 57 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Deportivo Moron face Deportivo Madryn in Primera Nacional. Deportivo Moron have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2 games, scoring 1 and conceding 3 (0 points per game). Deportivo Madryn have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 3 and conceding 3 (1.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 59% probability backing Deportivo Moron, home advantage and superior chance creation make Deportivo Moron to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 59% win probability for Deportivo Moron, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Deportivo Madryn. Our top recommended betting pick is Deportivo Moron Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 11 Jul 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano as part of the Primera Nacional.
