Primera Nacional · Saturday, 11 Jul 2026
San Miguel
Home
0-1
Full time
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
Ferro Carril Oeste
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.3 - 1.56
Win probability
Home
25%
Draw
27%
Away
48%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Draw/Away
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
San Miguel wins
0
Draws
0
Ferro Carril Oeste wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
95%
33%
Attack
50%
66%
Defence
83%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
25%
Win probability
48%
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
2 matches.
| San Miguel | Ferro Carril Oeste | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 1/1 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 0% 0/1 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 0% 0/1 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 100% 1/1 | Both teams scored | 1/2 50% |
| 0% 0/1 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/2 50% |
| 0% 0/1 | Failed to score | 0/2 0% |
At half time
San Miguel
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Ferro Carril Oeste
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ferro Carril Oeste |
35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | +7 | 65 |
| 18 |
San Miguel |
35 | 6 | 15 | 14 | -14 | 33 |
Match Preview & Analysis
San Miguel face Ferro Carril Oeste in Primera Nacional. San Miguel have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 1 games, scoring 1 and conceding 1 (1 points per game). Ferro Carril Oeste have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 3 and conceding 1 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Ferro Carril Oeste's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 48% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Ferro Carril Oeste to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 25% win probability for San Miguel, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 48% probability for Ferro Carril Oeste. Our top recommended betting pick is Ferro Carril Oeste Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 11 Jul 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Malvinas Argentinas as part of the Primera Nacional.
