Primera Nacional · Saturday, 11 Jul 2026
Tristan Suarez
Home
1-0
Full time
Estadio 20 de Octubre
Nueva Chicago
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
34%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
79%
1.19
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
21%
Over 2.5
28%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.74
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Tristan Suarez wins
0
Draws
0
Nueva Chicago wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
16%
Recent form
66%
5%
Attack
33%
83%
Defence
95%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
21%
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
2 matches.
| Tristan Suarez | Nueva Chicago | |
|---|---|---|
| 0% 0/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 0% 0/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 0% 0/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 0% 0/2 | Both teams scored | 0/2 0% |
| 50% 1/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/2 100% |
| 100% 2/2 | Failed to score | 1/2 50% |
At half time
Tristan Suarez
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Nueva Chicago
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tristan Suarez |
35 | 16 | 15 | 4 | +18 | 63 |
| 17 |
Nueva Chicago |
35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | -9 | 37 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Tristan Suarez face Nueva Chicago in Primera Nacional. Tristan Suarez have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 0 and conceding 1 (0.5 points per game). Nueva Chicago have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 2 and conceding 0 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 21% and Both Teams to Score at 28%.
With a 45% probability backing Tristan Suarez, home advantage and superior chance creation make Tristan Suarez to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Tristan Suarez, a 34% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Nueva Chicago. Our top recommended betting pick is Tristan Suarez Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.74 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 28%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 11 Jul 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio 20 de Octubre as part of the Primera Nacional.
