FA Cup · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Buxton
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Ashton United
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.47
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.04 - 1.91
Win probability
Home
14%
Draw
22%
Away
64%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
64%
1.47
Double Chance
Draw/Away
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Buxton wins
0
Draws
0
Ashton United wins
10 Jul 2026
Buxton
1 - 0
Ashton United
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
26%
86%
Attack
46%
46%
Defence
46%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
14%
Win probability
64%
Home and away record
Buxton
last 8 at home
6W
0D
2L
2.25
points a game
2.13
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Ashton United
last 6 away from home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
1.17
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Buxton | Ashton United | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Buxton
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Ashton United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Buxton face Ashton United in FA Cup. Buxton have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 8 (2.4 points per game). Ashton United have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Buxton won 1, Ashton United won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Ashton United's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 64% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Ashton United to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 14% win probability for Buxton, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 64% probability for Ashton United. Our top recommended betting pick is Ashton United Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FA Cup.
