FA Cup · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Merthyr Town
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Truro City
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.23 - 1.58
Win probability
Home
22%
Draw
29%
Away
49%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Draw/Away
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
34%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.81
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Merthyr Town v Truro City pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Merthyr Town wins
0
Draws
0
Truro City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
46%
33%
Attack
53%
73%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
22%
Win probability
49%
Home and away record
Merthyr Town
last 8 at home
4W
3D
1L
1.88
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Truro City
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Merthyr Town | Truro City | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Merthyr Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
70%
Behind
10%
Truro City
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
60%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
Merthyr Town face Truro City in FA Cup. Merthyr Town have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game). Truro City have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 34% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Truro City's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 49% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Truro City to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 22% win probability for Merthyr Town, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 49% probability for Truro City. Our top recommended betting pick is Truro City Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.81 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FA Cup.
