FA Cup · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Morecambe
Home
2-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Southport
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.11 - 1.82
Win probability
Home
17%
Draw
23%
Away
60%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
60%
1.57
Double Chance
Draw/Away
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Morecambe wins
0
Draws
1
Southport wins
08 Sep 2026
Southport
2 - 1
Morecambe
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
20%
73%
Attack
20%
80%
Defence
26%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
17%
Win probability
60%
Home and away record
Morecambe
last 7 at home
3W
2D
2L
1.57
points a game
1.57
scored a game
0.71
conceded a game
Southport
last 5 away from home
0W
1D
4L
0.20
points a game
0.80
scored a game
2.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Morecambe | Southport | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Morecambe
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Southport
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Morecambe face Southport in FA Cup. Morecambe have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 3 (2.4 points per game). Southport have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 11 (0.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Morecambe won 0, Southport won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Southport's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 60% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Southport to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 17% win probability for Morecambe, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 60% probability for Southport. Our top recommended betting pick is Southport Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FA Cup.
