FA Cup · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Hemel Hempstead Town
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Wingate & Finchley
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.21 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
63%
Draw
25%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
Home/Draw
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
68%
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
34%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Hemel Hempstead Town wins
0
Draws
0
Wingate & Finchley wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
46%
20%
Attack
53%
53%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
63%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Hemel Hempstead Town
last 6 at home
0W
3D
3L
0.50
points a game
0.83
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Wingate & Finchley
last 6 away from home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.17
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Wingate & Finchley | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Hemel Hempstead Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
Wingate & Finchley
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Hemel Hempstead Town face Wingate & Finchley in FA Cup. Hemel Hempstead Town have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (0.6 points per game). Wingate & Finchley have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 11 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 34% and Both Teams to Score at 32%.
With a 63% probability backing Hemel Hempstead Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Hemel Hempstead Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 63% win probability for Hemel Hempstead Town, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Wingate & Finchley. Our top recommended betting pick is Hemel Hempstead Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 32%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FA Cup.
