Eerste Divisie · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Vitesse
Home
3-1
Full time
GelreDome
Jong PSV U21
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
21%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
66%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vitesse wins
0
Draws
0
Jong PSV U21 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
40%
46%
Attack
53%
66%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
55%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Vitesse
last 8 at home
2W
3D
3L
1.13
points a game
0.88
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Jong PSV U21
last 4 away from home
0W
2D
2L
0.50
points a game
1.25
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Vitesse | Jong PSV U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 9/10 90% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Vitesse
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Jong PSV U21
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
56%
Behind
22%
Match Preview & Analysis
Vitesse face Jong PSV U21 in Eerste Divisie. Vitesse have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game). Jong PSV U21 have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 66% and Both Teams to Score at 64%.
With a 55% probability backing Vitesse, home advantage and superior chance creation make Vitesse to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for Vitesse, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Jong PSV U21. Our top recommended betting pick is Vitesse Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 64% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 14:30 (East Africa Time) at GelreDome as part of the Eerste Divisie.
