III Liga - Group 4 · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Busko-Zdroj
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Moravia Morawica
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 1.27
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
21%
Away
35%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
76%
Over 2.5
74%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Busko-Zdroj wins
0
Draws
0
Moravia Morawica wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
20%
40%
Attack
40%
33%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
35%
Home and away record
Busko-Zdroj
last 6 at home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
1.67
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Moravia Morawica
last 5 away from home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
1.40
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Busko-Zdroj | Moravia Morawica | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 90% 9/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Busko-Zdroj
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Moravia Morawica
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
Busko-Zdroj |
16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -14 | 17 |
| 17 |
Moravia Morawica |
16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -10 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Busko-Zdroj face Moravia Morawica in III Liga - Group 4. Busko-Zdroj have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 10 (0.8 points per game). Moravia Morawica have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 11 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 76% and Both Teams to Score at 74%.
With a 44% probability backing Busko-Zdroj, home advantage and superior chance creation make Busko-Zdroj to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Busko-Zdroj, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 35% probability for Moravia Morawica. Our top recommended betting pick is Busko-Zdroj Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 74% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the III Liga - Group 4.
