AfriPredictions
First League · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Arda Kardzhali
Home
1-1
Full time
Arena Arda
Cherno More Varna
Away
Our Prediction ☆☆ confidence
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.52
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.19 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
62%
Draw
18%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
62% 1.52
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80% 1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75% 1.25
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
69% 1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Arda Kardzhali v Cherno More Varna pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Open WhatsApp
Recent form: last 5 games
W W W L L
3-0-2
W-D-L
9:8
Goals
1.8
PPG
L L W L D
1-1-3
W-D-L
8:11
Goals
0.8
PPG
Head-to-head
0
Arda Kardzhali wins
0
Draws
0
Cherno More Varna wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60% Recent form 26%
60% Attack 53%
46% Defence 26%
50% Head-to-head 50%
62% Win probability 19%
Match Preview & Analysis

Arda Kardzhali face Cherno More Varna in First League. Arda Kardzhali have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1.8 points per game). Cherno More Varna have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).

There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 69%.

With a 62% probability backing Arda Kardzhali, home advantage and superior chance creation make Arda Kardzhali to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.

Frequently Asked Questions Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 62% win probability for Arda Kardzhali, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Cherno More Varna. Our top recommended betting pick is Arda Kardzhali Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 69% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Arena Arda as part of the First League.
Quick view
Wait, before you go
Don't miss today's banker

Grab today's free banker + 5 free tips, graded the moment matches finish.

Or unlock all 10 VIP picks the moment they drop.

See today's free tips → Unlock VIP: all 10 picks

Find your best fit Highest-confidence model picks

Answer 2 quick questions Review today's ranked VIP selections

How often do you back our tips?

What matters most to you?

Won this week
Tips won

VIP includes today's highest-ranked model selections. Review the available probability and match context before you bet.

· See track record
Chat with us
We reply by email, usually within a couple of hours.
Message sent!
We'll reply to your email shortly.
Text us on WhatsApp for a free VIP pick 🎁
Pay by M-Pesa right in the chat

6,374 winning picks this week
See every result ›
Average winning odds 1.27, graded automatically from final scores.
6,374 winning picks in the last 7 days
avg winning odds 1.27 · KES 100 → KES 127
Published before kick-off
No results edited after the fact
Independently checkable
The full record is public
Data-driven picks
Form, H2H and goal models
Secured by Paystack · M-Pesa & Card · Activated immediately on payment
Selected plan
🇰🇪 +254 🌍 +
⚠️
Airtel Money is currently unavailable via our payment provider.
You can pay with M-Pesa from any Safaricom number (enter it above), or continue below to pay securely by Debit/Credit Card.

We create your account and send a login link to your email & WhatsApp, then you pay securely with M-Pesa, Card or Pesalink. We create your account and send a login link to your email & WhatsApp, then you pay securely by Card. Include your country code (e.g. 234 for Nigeria, 233 for Ghana, 55 for Brazil). You'll pay by card — M-Pesa is Kenya-only. Amounts are charged in Kenyan Shillings.

Choose M-Pesa in the next step — the PIN prompt comes to this number.

Click above to pay securely by Card, or replace the number with a Safaricom line to use M-Pesa.

Secured byPaystack ·Card·M-Pesa·Pesalink