Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Vilanova
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Peralada
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
36%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
81%
1.16
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
19%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.72
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vilanova wins
0
Draws
0
Peralada wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
44%
Recent form
16%
33%
Attack
16%
55%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Vilanova
last 1 at home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Peralada
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Vilanova | Peralada | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 2/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 33% 1/3 | Both teams scored | 1/2 50% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/2 0% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 1/2 50% |
At half time
Vilanova
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Peralada
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Vilanova face Peralada in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5. Vilanova have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4 (1.33 points per game). Peralada have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 1 and conceding 2 (0.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 19% and Both Teams to Score at 26%.
With a 44% probability backing Vilanova, home advantage and superior chance creation make Vilanova to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Vilanova, a 36% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Peralada. Our top recommended betting pick is Vilanova Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.72 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 26%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
