Derde Divisie · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Hoogeveen
Home
0-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Excelsior '31
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.32 - 1.75
Win probability
Home
26%
Draw
17%
Away
57%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
57%
1.65
Double Chance
Home/Away
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
86%
1.09
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
81%
1.16
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
86%
Over 2.5
81%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Hoogeveen wins
0
Draws
0
Excelsior '31 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
66%
66%
Attack
73%
33%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
26%
Win probability
57%
Home and away record
Hoogeveen
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
2.33
scored a game
2.67
conceded a game
Excelsior '31
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Hoogeveen | Excelsior '31 | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 6/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 100% 6/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 83% 5/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 100% 6/6 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 0% 0/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/6 50% |
| 0% 0/6 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
Hoogeveen
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
Excelsior '31
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Excelsior '31 |
12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +12 | 22 |
| 12 |
Hoogeveen |
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Hoogeveen face Excelsior '31 in Derde Divisie. Hoogeveen have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 10 (1 points per game). Excelsior '31 have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 6 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 86% and Both Teams to Score at 81%.
Excelsior '31's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 57% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Excelsior '31 to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 26% win probability for Hoogeveen, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 57% probability for Excelsior '31. Our top recommended betting pick is Excelsior '31 Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 81% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Derde Divisie.
