Eredivisie · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Sparta Rotterdam
Home
0-4
Full time
Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel
Heerenveen
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.35 - 1.6
Win probability
Home
27%
Draw
23%
Away
50%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Draw/Away
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sparta Rotterdam wins
0
Draws
0
Heerenveen wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
20%
66%
Attack
40%
20%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
27%
Win probability
50%
Home and away record
Sparta Rotterdam
last 6 at home
1W
4D
1L
1.17
points a game
1.17
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Heerenveen
last 3 away from home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
2.33
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Sparta Rotterdam | Heerenveen | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Sparta Rotterdam
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Heerenveen
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
56%
Behind
11%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Heerenveen |
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 21 |
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterdam |
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sparta Rotterdam face Heerenveen in Eredivisie. Sparta Rotterdam have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 12 (1 points per game). Heerenveen have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Heerenveen's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 50% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Heerenveen to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 27% win probability for Sparta Rotterdam, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 50% probability for Heerenveen. Our top recommended betting pick is Heerenveen Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 16:45 (East Africa Time) at Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel as part of the Eredivisie.
