Premiership · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Kilmarnock
Home
1-1
Full time
The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
Heart Of Midlothian
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.25
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.96 - 2.15
Win probability
Home
11%
Draw
13%
Away
75%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
75%
1.25
Double Chance
Draw/Away
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
84%
1.12
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
71%
1.32
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
84%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Kilmarnock wins
0
Draws
0
Heart Of Midlothian wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
80%
13%
Attack
73%
60%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
11%
Win probability
75%
Home and away record
Kilmarnock
last 7 at home
2W
2D
3L
1.14
points a game
0.86
scored a game
1.86
conceded a game
Heart Of Midlothian
last 8 away from home
3W
1D
4L
1.25
points a game
1.38
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Kilmarnock | Heart Of Midlothian | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Kilmarnock
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
60%
Behind
30%
Heart Of Midlothian
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
20%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Heart Of Midlothian |
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 16 |
| 11 |
Kilmarnock |
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Kilmarnock face Heart Of Midlothian in Premiership. Kilmarnock have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 6 (1 points per game). Heart Of Midlothian have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 84% and Both Teams to Score at 71%.
Heart Of Midlothian's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 75% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Heart Of Midlothian to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 11% win probability for Kilmarnock, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 75% probability for Heart Of Midlothian. Our top recommended betting pick is Heart Of Midlothian Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 71% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 16:45 (East Africa Time) at The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park as part of the Premiership.
