1. Lig · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Esenler Erokspor
Home
0-2
Full time
Esenler Stadium
Fatih Karagümrük
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
35%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
77%
1.22
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
18%
Over 2.5
23%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.72
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Esenler Erokspor wins
0
Draws
0
Fatih Karagümrük wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
40%
20%
Attack
53%
53%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
48%
Win probability
17%
Home and away record
Esenler Erokspor
last 3 at home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
0.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Fatih Karagümrük
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Esenler Erokspor | Fatih Karagümrük | |
|---|---|---|
| 57% 4/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 43% 3/7 | Both teams scored | 6/7 86% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/7 0% |
| 57% 4/7 | Failed to score | 1/7 14% |
At half time
Esenler Erokspor
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
57%
Behind
43%
Fatih Karagümrük
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
43%
Behind
29%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Fatih Karagümrük |
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 17 |
Esenler Erokspor |
10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -5 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Esenler Erokspor face Fatih Karagümrük in 1. Lig. Esenler Erokspor have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (0.6 points per game). Fatih Karagümrük have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 18% and Both Teams to Score at 23%.
With a 48% probability backing Esenler Erokspor, home advantage and superior chance creation make Esenler Erokspor to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for Esenler Erokspor, a 35% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Fatih Karagümrük. Our top recommended betting pick is Esenler Erokspor Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.72 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 23%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at Esenler Stadium as part of the 1. Lig.
