Primera B Metropolitana · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Sportivo Italiano
Home
0-0
Full time
Republica de Italia Stadium
Brown DE Adrogue
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
28%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
36%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.88
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sportivo Italiano wins
0
Draws
0
Brown DE Adrogue wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
20%
33%
Attack
13%
66%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Sportivo Italiano
last 6 at home
3W
2D
1L
1.83
points a game
1.67
scored a game
0.83
conceded a game
Brown DE Adrogue
last 6 away from home
0W
3D
3L
0.50
points a game
0.17
scored a game
0.83
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Sportivo Italiano | Brown DE Adrogue | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Sportivo Italiano
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Brown DE Adrogue
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Sportivo Italiano |
41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | +14 | 69 |
| 19 |
Brown DE Adrogue |
40 | 9 | 16 | 15 | -12 | 43 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sportivo Italiano face Brown DE Adrogue in Primera B Metropolitana. Sportivo Italiano have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game). Brown DE Adrogue have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 6 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 36% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 50% probability backing Sportivo Italiano, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sportivo Italiano to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for Sportivo Italiano, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Brown DE Adrogue. Our top recommended betting pick is Sportivo Italiano Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.88 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Republica de Italia Stadium as part of the Primera B Metropolitana.
