HNL · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Istra 1961
Home
0-1
Full time
Stadion Aldo Drosina
HNK Gorica
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.08
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.79 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
87%
Draw
6%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
87%
1.08
Double Chance
Home/Draw
93%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
86%
1.09
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
86%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Istra 1961 wins
0
Draws
0
HNK Gorica wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
33%
80%
Attack
33%
53%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
87%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Istra 1961
last 6 at home
3W
2D
1L
1.83
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
HNK Gorica
last 5 away from home
1W
0D
4L
0.60
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Istra 1961 | HNK Gorica | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Istra 1961
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
HNK Gorica
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
30%
Behind
70%
Match Preview & Analysis
Istra 1961 face HNK Gorica in HNL. Istra 1961 have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game). HNK Gorica have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 86% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 87% probability backing Istra 1961, home advantage and superior chance creation make Istra 1961 to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 87% win probability for Istra 1961, a 6% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for HNK Gorica. Our top recommended betting pick is Istra 1961 Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Aldo Drosina as part of the HNL.
