Eredivisie · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Ajax
Home
2-2
Full time
Johan Cruijff Arena
Excelsior
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.38 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
70%
Draw
17%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
Home/Draw
87%
1.08
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
66%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.17
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ajax wins
0
Draws
0
Excelsior wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
46%
95%
Attack
73%
40%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
70%
Win probability
13%
Match Preview & Analysis
Ajax face Excelsior in Eredivisie. Ajax have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 17 and conceding 9 (2 points per game). Excelsior have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 66% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 70% probability backing Ajax, home advantage and superior chance creation make Ajax to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 70% win probability for Ajax, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Excelsior. Our top recommended betting pick is Ajax Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.17 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Johan Cruijff Arena as part of the Eredivisie.
