Liga Alef · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Home
3-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Ironi Baka El Garbiya
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.18
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.62 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
80%
Draw
10%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
80%
1.18
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
87%
1.08
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
87%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm wins
0
Draws
0
Ironi Baka El Garbiya wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
16%
66%
Attack
5%
50%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
80%
Win probability
8%
Home and away record
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
last 1 at home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Ironi Baka El Garbiya
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
2 matches.
| Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | Ironi Baka El Garbiya | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 2/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 100% 2/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 50% 1/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 100% 2/2 | Both teams scored | 0/2 0% |
| 0% 0/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/2 50% |
| 0% 0/2 | Failed to score | 2/2 100% |
At half time
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Ironi Baka El Garbiya
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm face Ironi Baka El Garbiya in Liga Alef. Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Ironi Baka El Garbiya have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 0 and conceding 2 (0.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 87% and Both Teams to Score at 70%.
With a 80% probability backing Hapoel Umm al-Fahm, home advantage and superior chance creation make Hapoel Umm al-Fahm to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 80% win probability for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for Ironi Baka El Garbiya. Our top recommended betting pick is Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.3 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 70% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga Alef.
