Primera División - Apertura · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Cerro
Home
1-2
Full time
Estadio Luis Troccoli
Penarol
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.94 - 2
Win probability
Home
10%
Draw
22%
Away
68%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
68%
1.38
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Cerro wins
0
Draws
0
Penarol wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
73%
40%
Attack
73%
46%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
10%
Win probability
68%
Match Preview & Analysis
Cerro face Penarol in Primera División - Apertura. Cerro have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 8 (1.8 points per game). Penarol have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 4 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
Penarol's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 68% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Penarol to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 10% win probability for Cerro, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 68% probability for Penarol. Our top recommended betting pick is Penarol Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Troccoli as part of the Primera División - Apertura.
