Ligue 1 · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Le Mans
Home
2-1
Full time
MMArena
Lorient
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.18
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
23%
Away
31%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
70%
1.34
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Le Mans wins
0
Draws
0
Lorient wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
33%
46%
Attack
33%
40%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
31%
Home and away record
Le Mans
last 7 at home
2W
3D
2L
1.29
points a game
1.57
scored a game
1.43
conceded a game
Lorient
last 6 away from home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
1.17
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Le Mans | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Le Mans
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Lorient
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Le Mans face Lorient in Ligue 1. Le Mans have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game). Lorient have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 63%.
With a 47% probability backing Le Mans, home advantage and superior chance creation make Le Mans to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Le Mans, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 31% probability for Lorient. Our top recommended betting pick is Le Mans Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 63% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at MMArena as part of the Ligue 1.
