Ligue 1 · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Lyon
Home
4-0
Full time
Groupama Stadium
Rennes
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 1.05
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
21%
Away
25%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
70%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lyon wins
0
Draws
0
Rennes wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
73%
46%
Attack
53%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
25%
Team news
Lyon
- L. Openda · Leg Injury
- M. Ouédraogo · Jumpers Knee
- P. Šulc · Jumpers Knee
- T. Morton · Groin Injury
- Steeve Kango · Concussion
- R. Himbert · Inactive
- S. Kango · Concussion
- M. Ouedraogo · Knee Injury
Rennes
- E. Lepaul · Sprained Ankle
- A. Ait Boudlal · Injury
- V. Rongier · Muscle Injury
- B. Samba · Thigh Injury
- A. Nordin · Inactive
- Q. Merlin · Inactive
- D. Cisse · Inactive
- G. Oliveira · Inactive
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Home and away record
Lyon
last 7 at home
5W
1D
1L
2.29
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.43
conceded a game
Rennes
last 5 away from home
1W
3D
1L
1.20
points a game
1.60
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Lyon | Rennes | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Lyon
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Rennes
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
33%
Behind
22%
Match Preview & Analysis
Lyon face Rennes in Ligue 1. Lyon have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game). Rennes have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 70% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
With a 54% probability backing Lyon, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lyon to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Lyon, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 25% probability for Rennes. Our top recommended betting pick is Lyon Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Groupama Stadium as part of the Ligue 1.
