Ligue 1 · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Toulouse
Home
3-2
Full time
Stadium Municipal
Le Havre
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.07 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
57%
Draw
24%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
Home/Draw
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.99
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Toulouse wins
0
Draws
0
Le Havre wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
33%
33%
Attack
20%
40%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
57%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Toulouse
last 5 at home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
0.80
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Le Havre
last 4 away from home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Toulouse | Le Havre | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 71% 5/7 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 0% 0/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Toulouse
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
43%
Behind
29%
Le Havre
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
56%
Behind
22%
Match Preview & Analysis
Toulouse face Le Havre in Ligue 1. Toulouse have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 9 (0.4 points per game). Le Havre have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 57% probability backing Toulouse, home advantage and superior chance creation make Toulouse to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 57% win probability for Toulouse, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Le Havre. Our top recommended betting pick is Toulouse Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.99 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Stadium Municipal as part of the Ligue 1.
