Primera Nacional · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Atletico DE Rafaela
Home
4-2
Full time
Estadio Nuevo Monumental
San Martin Tucuman
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
80%
1.18
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
20%
Over 2.5
28%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atletico DE Rafaela wins
0
Draws
0
San Martin Tucuman wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
53%
20%
Attack
53%
66%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Atletico DE Rafaela
last 5 at home
3W
1D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
San Martin Tucuman
last 5 away from home
2W
1D
2L
1.40
points a game
0.80
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Atletico DE Rafaela | San Martin Tucuman | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Atletico DE Rafaela
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
San Martin Tucuman
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
San Martin Tucuman |
35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 46 |
| 11 |
Atletico DE Rafaela |
35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | -6 | 46 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Atletico DE Rafaela face San Martin Tucuman in Primera Nacional. Atletico DE Rafaela have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (1 points per game). San Martin Tucuman have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 20% and Both Teams to Score at 28%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Atletico DE Rafaela, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for San Martin Tucuman. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 28%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Monumental as part of the Primera Nacional.
