Liga Profesional Argentina · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Union Santa Fe
Home
1-2
Full time
Estadio 15 de Abril
Independiente
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.92 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
51%
Draw
28%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
35%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.88
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Union Santa Fe wins
0
Draws
0
Independiente wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
53%
73%
Attack
33%
53%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
51%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Union Santa Fe
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Independiente
last 5 away from home
3W
0D
2L
1.80
points a game
1.20
scored a game
1.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Union Santa Fe | Independiente | |
|---|---|---|
| 89% 8/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 78% 7/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 78% 7/9 | Both teams scored | 2/10 20% |
| 0% 0/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Union Santa Fe
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
33%
Behind
44%
Independiente
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
Independiente |
32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | +3 | 47 |
| 16 |
Union Santa Fe |
32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | +4 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Union Santa Fe face Independiente in Liga Profesional Argentina. Union Santa Fe have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game). Independiente have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 35% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 51% probability backing Union Santa Fe, home advantage and superior chance creation make Union Santa Fe to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 51% win probability for Union Santa Fe, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Independiente. Our top recommended betting pick is Union Santa Fe Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.88 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 19:45 (East Africa Time) at Estadio 15 de Abril as part of the Liga Profesional Argentina.
