Serie A · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Mirassol
Home
2-0
Full time
José Maria de Campos Maia
Botafogo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 1.12
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
24%
Away
28%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Mirassol v Botafogo pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mirassol wins
0
Draws
0
Botafogo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
33%
40%
Attack
40%
53%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
48%
Win probability
28%
Team news
Mirassol
- Edson Carioca · Yellow Cards
- Negueba · Knee Injury
- Bruno Santos · Red Card
- Andre Luis · Yellow Cards
- Jose Aldo · Muscle Injury
- Joao Victor · Red Card
- Alesson · Yellow Cards
- Walter · Injury
Botafogo
- Kaio Pantaleao · Knee Injury
- Danilo Santos · Injury
- J. Barrera · Ankle Injury
- Arthur Chaves · Inactive
- A. Montoro · Yellow Cards
- L. Monzon · Inactive
- Matheus Martins · Lacking Match Fitness
- K. Barria · Inactive
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Home and away record
Mirassol
last 7 at home
2W
4D
1L
1.43
points a game
1.43
scored a game
1.71
conceded a game
Botafogo
last 4 away from home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
0.50
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Mirassol | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Mirassol
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Botafogo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Botafogo |
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -7 | 42 |
| 14 |
Mirassol |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Mirassol face Botafogo in Serie A. Mirassol have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game). Botafogo have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 48% probability backing Mirassol, home advantage and superior chance creation make Mirassol to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for Mirassol, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 28% probability for Botafogo. Our top recommended betting pick is Mirassol Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at José Maria de Campos Maia as part of the Serie A.
