Liga Nacional · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Aurora
Home
1-0
Full time
Estadio Guillermo Slowing
Marquense
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
23%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Aurora wins
0
Draws
0
Marquense wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
66%
46%
Attack
40%
46%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
55%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Aurora
last 8 at home
5W
1D
2L
2.00
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Marquense
last 5 away from home
3W
0D
2L
1.80
points a game
1.40
scored a game
1.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Aurora | Marquense | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 5/9 56% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/9 22% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 3/9 33% |
At half time
Aurora
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
Marquense
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
56%
Behind
22%
Match Preview & Analysis
Aurora face Marquense in Liga Nacional. Aurora have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game). Marquense have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 55% probability backing Aurora, home advantage and superior chance creation make Aurora to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for Aurora, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Marquense. Our top recommended betting pick is Aurora Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 21:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Slowing as part of the Liga Nacional.
