Primera División - Apertura · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Deportivo Maldonado
Home
2-0
Full time
Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
Cerro Largo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.36
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.36 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
69%
Draw
18%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
69%
1.36
Double Chance
Home/Draw
87%
1.08
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Deportivo Maldonado wins
0
Draws
0
Cerro Largo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
26%
53%
Attack
26%
86%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
69%
Win probability
12%
Match Preview & Analysis
Deportivo Maldonado face Cerro Largo in Primera División - Apertura. Deportivo Maldonado have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 2 (2 points per game). Cerro Largo have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 69% probability backing Deportivo Maldonado, home advantage and superior chance creation make Deportivo Maldonado to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 69% win probability for Deportivo Maldonado, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Cerro Largo. Our top recommended betting pick is Deportivo Maldonado Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 21:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel as part of the Primera División - Apertura.
