USL Championship · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Lexington
Home
6-0
Full time
Toyota Stadium
Orange County SC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.12 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
59%
Draw
20%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
59%
1.59
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
66%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.08
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lexington wins
0
Draws
0
Orange County SC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
13%
60%
Attack
33%
53%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
59%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Lexington
last 6 at home
4W
0D
2L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Orange County SC
last 6 away from home
3W
3D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.17
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Lexington | Orange County SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Lexington
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
80%
Behind
10%
Orange County SC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Lexington |
29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | +18 | 47 |
| 9 |
Orange County SC |
29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | -9 | 39 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Lexington face Orange County SC in USL Championship. Lexington have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game). Orange County SC have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 12 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 66% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 59% probability backing Lexington, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lexington to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 59% win probability for Lexington, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Orange County SC. Our top recommended betting pick is Lexington Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.08 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
