Serie A · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Vasco DA Gama
Home
5-0
Full time
São Januário
Coritiba
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.25 - 1.56
Win probability
Home
23%
Draw
29%
Away
48%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Draw/Away
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
36%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.81
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vasco DA Gama wins
0
Draws
0
Coritiba wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
53%
40%
Attack
66%
86%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
23%
Win probability
48%
Home and away record
Vasco DA Gama
last 8 at home
4W
3D
1L
1.88
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.63
conceded a game
Coritiba
last 3 away from home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Vasco DA Gama | Coritiba | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 7/9 78% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/9 11% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
Vasco DA Gama
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
60%
Behind
10%
Coritiba
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
44%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Coritiba |
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |
Vasco DA Gama |
33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 41 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Vasco DA Gama face Coritiba in Serie A. Vasco DA Gama have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 2 (2 points per game). Coritiba have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 9 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 36% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Coritiba's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 48% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Coritiba to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 23% win probability for Vasco DA Gama, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 48% probability for Coritiba. Our top recommended betting pick is Coritiba Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.81 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at São Januário as part of the Serie A.
