USL Championship · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Home
4-0
Full time
Al Lang Stadium
Birmingham Legion
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.19
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.6 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
79%
Draw
13%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
79%
1.19
Double Chance
Home/Draw
92%
1.02
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.28
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Tampa Bay Rowdies wins
0
Draws
0
Birmingham Legion wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
20%
33%
Attack
80%
73%
Defence
6%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
79%
Win probability
8%
Home and away record
Tampa Bay Rowdies
last 6 at home
4W
1D
1L
2.17
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Birmingham Legion
last 5 away from home
0W
2D
3L
0.40
points a game
1.60
scored a game
2.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Birmingham Legion | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Tampa Bay Rowdies
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Birmingham Legion
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
80%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tampa Bay Rowdies |
29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | +24 | 58 |
| 11 |
Birmingham Legion |
28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | -6 | 27 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Tampa Bay Rowdies face Birmingham Legion in USL Championship. Tampa Bay Rowdies have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game). Birmingham Legion have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 14 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 67% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 79% probability backing Tampa Bay Rowdies, home advantage and superior chance creation make Tampa Bay Rowdies to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 79% win probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for Birmingham Legion. Our top recommended betting pick is Tampa Bay Rowdies Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.28 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at Al Lang Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
