Major League Soccer · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
St. Louis City
Home
3-1
Full time
CITYPARK
Toronto FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 1.14
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
26%
Away
29%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
St. Louis City wins
0
Draws
0
Toronto FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
53%
95%
Attack
60%
46%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
46%
Win probability
29%
Home and away record
St. Louis City
last 6 at home
4W
2D
0L
2.33
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Toronto FC
last 6 away from home
1W
3D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| St. Louis City | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
St. Louis City
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
70%
Level
30%
Behind
0%
Toronto FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
St. Louis City |
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | +11 | 54 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC |
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | -15 | 39 |
Match Preview & Analysis
St. Louis City face Toronto FC in Major League Soccer. St. Louis City have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 8 (2.2 points per game). Toronto FC have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 10 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 46% probability backing St. Louis City, home advantage and superior chance creation make St. Louis City to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for St. Louis City, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability for Toronto FC. Our top recommended betting pick is St. Louis City Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 00:30 (East Africa Time) at CITYPARK as part of the Major League Soccer.
