Liga de Expansión MX · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Cancún
Home
3-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.21 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
63%
Draw
20%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
Home/Draw
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.08
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Cancún wins
0
Draws
0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
46%
73%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
63%
Win probability
17%
Home and away record
Cancún
last 7 at home
3W
0D
4L
1.29
points a game
1.57
scored a game
1.57
conceded a game
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
last 4 away from home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Cancún | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/8 13% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 3/8 38% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/8 38% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
Cancún
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
50%
Behind
38%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Cancún |
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 14 |
| 14 |
Alebrijes de Oaxaca |
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Cancún face Alebrijes de Oaxaca in Liga de Expansión MX. Cancún have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game). Alebrijes de Oaxaca have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 63% probability backing Cancún, home advantage and superior chance creation make Cancún to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 63% win probability for Cancún, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca. Our top recommended betting pick is Cancún Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.08 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
