Liga MX · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Monterrey
Home
1-0
Full time
Estadio BBVA
Cruz Azul
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.28 - 1.69
Win probability
Home
24%
Draw
22%
Away
54%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Draw/Away
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Monterrey wins
0
Draws
0
Cruz Azul wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
60%
33%
Attack
53%
46%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
24%
Win probability
54%
Home and away record
Monterrey
last 7 at home
4W
1D
2L
1.86
points a game
2.14
scored a game
1.43
conceded a game
Cruz Azul
last 5 away from home
2W
1D
2L
1.40
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Monterrey | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Monterrey
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
Cruz Azul
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cruz Azul |
16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +11 | 32 |
| 10 |
Monterrey |
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Monterrey face Cruz Azul in Liga MX. Monterrey have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (1 points per game). Cruz Azul have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Cruz Azul's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 54% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Cruz Azul to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 24% win probability for Monterrey, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 54% probability for Cruz Azul. Our top recommended betting pick is Cruz Azul Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 01:10 (East Africa Time) at Estadio BBVA as part of the Liga MX.
