Primera A · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Deportivo Pasto
Home
1-0
Full time
Estadio Departamental Libertad
Once Caldas
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.15
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.84 - 2.3
Win probability
Home
6%
Draw
12%
Away
82%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
82%
1.15
Double Chance
Draw/Away
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.14
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Deportivo Pasto wins
0
Draws
0
Once Caldas wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
53%
13%
Attack
33%
40%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
6%
Win probability
82%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Onc Once Caldas | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 19 | Dep Deportivo Pasto | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 0 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Deportivo Pasto face Once Caldas in Primera A. Deportivo Pasto have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game). Once Caldas have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Once Caldas's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 82% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Once Caldas to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 6% win probability for Deportivo Pasto, a 12% chance of a draw, and a 82% probability for Once Caldas. Our top recommended betting pick is Once Caldas Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.14 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 01:15 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Departamental Libertad as part of the Primera A.
