K3 League · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Gyeongju HNP
Home
2-1
Full time
Gyeongju Civic Stadium
Changwon City
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
65%
1.45
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Gyeongju HNP wins
0
Draws
0
Changwon City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
6%
46%
Attack
40%
46%
Defence
6%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Gyeongju HNP
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Changwon City
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
3.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Gyeongju HNP | Changwon City | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 6/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 6/8 75% |
| 44% 4/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/8 13% |
| 11% 1/9 | Failed to score | 1/8 13% |
At half time
Gyeongju HNP
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
44%
Behind
11%
Changwon City
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
13%
Behind
63%
Match Preview & Analysis
Gyeongju HNP face Changwon City in K3 League. Gyeongju HNP have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (2 points per game). Changwon City have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 14 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Gyeongju HNP, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Changwon City. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 08:00 (East Africa Time) at Gyeongju Civic Stadium as part of the K3 League.
