Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Móstoles
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Cala Pozuelo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.11
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.74 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
85%
Draw
11%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
85%
1.11
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.33
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Móstoles wins
0
Draws
0
Cala Pozuelo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
50%
50%
Attack
66%
83%
Defence
16%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
85%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Móstoles
last 1 at home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Cala Pozuelo
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
2 matches.
| Móstoles | Cala Pozuelo | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 1/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 50% 1/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 50% 1/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 50% 1/2 | Both teams scored | 2/2 100% |
| 50% 1/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/2 0% |
| 50% 1/2 | Failed to score | 0/2 0% |
At half time
Móstoles
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Cala Pozuelo
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
0%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Móstoles |
9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 20 |
| 4 |
Cala Pozuelo |
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Móstoles face Cala Pozuelo in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7. Móstoles have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 3 and conceding 1 (2 points per game). Cala Pozuelo have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 36%.
With a 85% probability backing Móstoles, home advantage and superior chance creation make Móstoles to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 85% win probability for Móstoles, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Cala Pozuelo. Our top recommended betting pick is Móstoles Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.33 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 36%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 09:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
