Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Sporting Gijón II
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Lealtad
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.4 - 0.7
Win probability
Home
71%
Draw
20%
Away
9%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
71%
1.32
Double Chance
Home/Draw
91%
1.03
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sporting Gijón II wins
0
Draws
0
Lealtad wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
50%
66%
Attack
33%
46%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
71%
Win probability
9%
Home and away record
Sporting Gijón II
last 5 at home
3W
2D
0L
2.20
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
Lealtad
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Sporting Gijón II | Lealtad | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 1/2 50% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/2 50% |
| 0% 0/8 | Failed to score | 0/2 0% |
At half time
Sporting Gijón II
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
29%
Behind
14%
Lealtad
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Sporting Gijón II |
9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 20 |
| 4 |
Lealtad |
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sporting Gijón II face Lealtad in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2. Sporting Gijón II have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 8 (2 points per game). Lealtad have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 2 and conceding 2 (1.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
With a 71% probability backing Sporting Gijón II, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sporting Gijón II to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 71% win probability for Sporting Gijón II, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 9% probability for Lealtad. Our top recommended betting pick is Sporting Gijón II Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
