Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Burgos Promesas
Home
3-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Palencia CF
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.02
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.91 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
92%
Draw
6%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
92%
1.02
Double Chance
Home/Draw
98%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
77%
1.22
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
23%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.43
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Burgos Promesas v Palencia CF pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Burgos Promesas wins
0
Draws
0
Palencia CF wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
58%
66%
Attack
33%
95%
Defence
83%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
92%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Burgos Promesas
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Palencia CF
last 3 away from home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Burgos Promesas | Palencia CF | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 1/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 1/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 0% 0/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 0% 0/2 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 100% 2/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 0% 0/2 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Burgos Promesas
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
100%
Level
0%
Behind
0%
Palencia CF
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Burgos Promesas |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 10 |
| 10 |
Palencia CF |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Burgos Promesas face Palencia CF in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8. Burgos Promesas have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 4 and conceding 0 (3 points per game). Palencia CF have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 2 (1.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 67% and Both Teams to Score at 23%.
With a 92% probability backing Burgos Promesas, home advantage and superior chance creation make Burgos Promesas to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 92% win probability for Burgos Promesas, a 6% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Palencia CF. Our top recommended betting pick is Burgos Promesas Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.43 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 23%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
