Derde Divisie · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Blauw Geel
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Dongen
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
18%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Home/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
78%
1.21
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
82%
Over 2.5
78%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Blauw Geel wins
0
Draws
0
Dongen wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
40%
53%
Attack
80%
40%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
56%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Blauw Geel
last 2 at home
0W
2D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Dongen
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.50
scored a game
3.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Blauw Geel | Dongen | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 5/6 83% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
Blauw Geel
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Dongen
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Blauw Geel face Dongen in Derde Divisie. Blauw Geel have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 9 (1 points per game). Dongen have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 16 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 82% and Both Teams to Score at 78%.
With a 56% probability backing Blauw Geel, home advantage and superior chance creation make Blauw Geel to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for Blauw Geel, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Dongen. Our top recommended betting pick is Blauw Geel Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 78% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Derde Divisie.
