Eredivisie · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
AZ Alkmaar
Home
1-0
Full time
AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）
Telstar
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.07 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
57%
Draw
20%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.08
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
AZ Alkmaar wins
0
Draws
0
Telstar wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
13%
73%
Attack
20%
60%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
57%
Win probability
23%
Home and away record
AZ Alkmaar
last 7 at home
5W
2D
0L
2.43
points a game
2.86
scored a game
1.29
conceded a game
Telstar
last 7 away from home
2W
1D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.43
scored a game
1.57
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| AZ Alkmaar | Telstar | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
AZ Alkmaar
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Telstar
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
56%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
AZ Alkmaar face Telstar in Eredivisie. AZ Alkmaar have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 6 (2 points per game). Telstar have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 10 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 66%.
With a 57% probability backing AZ Alkmaar, home advantage and superior chance creation make AZ Alkmaar to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 57% win probability for AZ Alkmaar, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for Telstar. Our top recommended betting pick is AZ Alkmaar Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.08 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar） as part of the Eredivisie.
