Persha Liga · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Yarud Mariupol'
Home
2-1
Full time
Kolos Stadium
Polissya II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.47
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.24 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
64%
Draw
19%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
64%
1.47
Double Chance
Home/Draw
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
65%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Yarud Mariupol' wins
0
Draws
0
Polissya II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
33%
80%
Attack
46%
73%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
64%
Win probability
17%
Home and away record
Yarud Mariupol'
last 5 at home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
0.80
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
Polissya II
last 4 away from home
0W
3D
1L
0.75
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Yarud Mariupol' | Polissya II | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 7/8 88% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/8 0% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 1/8 13% |
At half time
Yarud Mariupol'
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Polissya II
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
71%
Behind
14%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Yarud Mariupol' |
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +9 | 28 |
| 16 |
Polissya II |
15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -11 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Yarud Mariupol' face Polissya II in Persha Liga. Yarud Mariupol' have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Polissya II have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 65% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 64% probability backing Yarud Mariupol', home advantage and superior chance creation make Yarud Mariupol' to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 64% win probability for Yarud Mariupol', a 19% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Polissya II. Our top recommended betting pick is Yarud Mariupol' Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at Kolos Stadium as part of the Persha Liga.
