AfriPredictions
Premyer Liqa · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Şamaxı FK
Home
2-1
Full time
Shamakhi City Stadium
Araz
Away
Our Prediction confidence
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.09
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.76 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
86%
Draw
9%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
86% 1.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95% 1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
80% 1.18
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
80%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.37
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
L D W D
1-2-1
W-D-L
6:5
Goals
1.25
PPG
Ara Araz
D L L D
0-2-2
W-D-L
4:10
Goals
0.5
PPG
Head-to-head
0
Şamaxı FK wins
0
Draws
0
Araz wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
41% Recent form 16%
50% Attack 33%
58% Defence 16%
50% Head-to-head 50%
86% Win probability 5%
Match Preview & Analysis

Şamaxı FK face Araz in Premyer Liqa. Şamaxı FK have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.25 points per game). Araz have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 10 (0.5 points per game).

There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 80% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.

With a 86% probability backing Şamaxı FK, home advantage and superior chance creation make Şamaxı FK to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.

Frequently Asked Questions Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 86% win probability for Şamaxı FK, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Araz. Our top recommended betting pick is Şamaxı FK Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.37 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at Shamakhi City Stadium as part of the Premyer Liqa.
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