Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Serie C - Girone A · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Novara
Home
2-2
Full time
Stadio Silvio Piola
Athletic Carpi
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
68%
1.38
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
32%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Novara wins
0
Draws
0
Athletic Carpi wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
40%
26%
Attack
53%
73%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Novara
last 3 at home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Athletic Carpi
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Novara | Athletic Carpi | |
|---|---|---|
| 44% 4/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 11% 1/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 6/8 75% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 44% 4/9 | Failed to score | 0/8 0% |
At half time
Novara
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Athletic Carpi
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
Novara |
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 |
Athletic Carpi |
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Novara face Athletic Carpi in Serie C - Girone A. Novara have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.2 points per game). Athletic Carpi have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 32% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Novara, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Athletic Carpi. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Silvio Piola as part of the Serie C - Girone A.
