Serie D - Girone B · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Pavonese
Home
3-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Tritium
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
21%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Pavonese wins
0
Draws
0
Tritium wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
11%
Recent form
11%
11%
Attack
33%
55%
Defence
44%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
56%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Pavonese
last 1 at home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Tritium
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Pavonese | Tritium | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 2/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 33% 1/3 | Both teams scored | 3/3 100% |
| 0% 0/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 67% 2/3 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
Pavonese
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Tritium
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Pavonese face Tritium in Serie D - Girone B. Pavonese have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 1 and conceding 4 (0.33 points per game). Tritium have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (0.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 67% and Both Teams to Score at 65%.
With a 56% probability backing Pavonese, home advantage and superior chance creation make Pavonese to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for Pavonese, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Tritium. Our top recommended betting pick is Pavonese Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 65% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone B.
