Serie D - Girone I · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Modica
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
CastrumFavara
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
67%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.31
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
28%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Modica wins
0
Draws
0
CastrumFavara wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
11%
Recent form
44%
22%
Attack
55%
55%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Modica
last 1 at home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
CastrumFavara
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Modica | CastrumFavara | |
|---|---|---|
| 33% 1/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 33% 1/3 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 0% 0/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 67% 2/3 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
Modica
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
0%
Behind
100%
CastrumFavara
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
33%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Modica |
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |
CastrumFavara |
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 8 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Modica face CastrumFavara in Serie D - Girone I. Modica have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 2 and conceding 4 (0.33 points per game). CastrumFavara have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (1.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 28% and Both Teams to Score at 36%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Modica, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for CastrumFavara. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 36%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone I.
