Serie D - Girone F · Sunday, 20 Sep 2026
Foligno Calcio
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Notaresco
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.12
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.72 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
84%
Draw
12%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
84%
1.12
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.31
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Foligno Calcio wins
0
Draws
0
Notaresco wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
44%
44%
Attack
44%
44%
Defence
55%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
84%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Foligno Calcio
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Notaresco
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Foligno Calcio | Notaresco | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 2/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
Foligno Calcio
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Notaresco
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Foligno Calcio |
10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 19 |
| 5 |
Notaresco |
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Foligno Calcio face Notaresco in Serie D - Girone F. Foligno Calcio have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). Notaresco have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 26%.
With a 84% probability backing Foligno Calcio, home advantage and superior chance creation make Foligno Calcio to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 84% win probability for Foligno Calcio, a 12% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Notaresco. Our top recommended betting pick is Foligno Calcio Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.31 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 26%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 20 Sep 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D - Girone F.
